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Jeffrey W. Huge, CMT's avatar

We’re getting a lot of questions regarding the so-called “Zweig Breadth Thrust.” Yes, our data confirms that the signal developed by Marty Zweig back in the mid-1970’s (featured in the book “Winning of Wall Street” in 1986) did trigger a buy signal. We have also verified that the signal has a 100% track record of success producing positive forward 12-month returns since 1960. But what you won’t find bullish advocates of this signal talking about on the internet is that prior to 1960, the signal has a much lower hit rate of just 45%. The bulls also won’t tell you that following the January 2, 2009 Zweig Breadth Thrust signal, the S&P 500 first plunged -26.75% lower over the subsequent two months before reaching its March 6, 2009 nadir. We expect the S&P 500 to plunge to at least SPX 3500 before the next DURABLE advance begins.

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Jeffrey W. Huge, CMT's avatar

If our preferred count is correct, then minor wave (ii) should top early next week in the SPX 5563-5671 range. Once complete, a powerful “third-of-a-third” wave decline should reignite the bear market’s fuse. We expect a move to SPX 4060 before minor wave (iii) down is complete. Stay tuned…the real show is about to begin.

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